lecavaleur, on 05 February 2012 - 09:04 PM, said:
Quebec recieves far less money per capita than do the Eastern provinces. With the recent exception of Newfoundland, the Eastern economies are far worse off than Quebec's. Based on the figure you've provided, Quebec will receive $912.50 per inhabitant, whereas Nova Scotia will receive $1339.81 per inhabitant (app. 68% more per capita than Québec).
If the minimum standard of a healthy provincial economy is to be better off than the traditional have not provinces of the East Coast then I think you're setting the bar pretty low. Given the geographical size of Quebec (largest province in Canada) and the population (second largest in Canada) I would be more inclined to ask why Quebec has half the GDP of its most comparable province (Ontario). To me, that's a rough indicator that there is less economic activity in Quebec than one would like/expect.
lecavaleur, on 05 February 2012 - 09:04 PM, said:
Also, that 7.3 billion is the gross amount which does not take into account the amount Quebecers pay in federal taxes. It would be interesting to see how much Quebec actually nets. The only numbers I can find are from 2004, where the feds collected over 5.5 billion from Quebecers in various taxes, which means that if the numbers were similar this year, Quebec would only be netting 2.1 billion or $262.50 per inhabitant. If that is the only gap an independent Quebec would have to close, it's far from impossible.
If you want to figure out net equalization payments by subtracting federal taxation that's fine, but then the same methodology would have to be applied to the other provinces. I briefly looked around on the internet for some figures in this regard, but as you allude to, they're tough to find for some reason.
lecavaleur, on 05 February 2012 - 09:04 PM, said:
Furthermore, Quebec has long-term economic infrastructure and industry - unlike Alberta or other priovinces whose "bubble" economies are dependent on non-renewable ressource like oil. We also have Hydro-Québec which makes us better debtors than States without such enormous capital.
I don't really think Alberta is best classified as a bubble economy that's about to burst. Alberta has the most oil reserves in the world behind Saudi Arabia and Venezuela (
http://www.energy.al...ilSands/791.asp). Sure, eventually the oil will run out (assuming the world still uses oil before the reserves are gone), but it's not imminent and the demand for oil is not likely to take any steep declines any time soon. If/when the world economy improves an increase in oil demand is highly probable.
I agree with you that Quebec's economy has room to grow, but given the that the GDP/capita of Quebec is lower than the national average, the net beneficiary of equalization payments it is, the size and population of Quebec, I don't think the Quebec economy is better than the rest of the country's (on average) as you suggest in post 32. And yes, the economy/wealth of Quebec is better than a large portion of the countries in the world, but most of the world outside of Western Europe and North America is a bit of a crapsack, so really that's not saying much.
lecavaleur, on 05 February 2012 - 09:04 PM, said:
An independent Quebec would be free to control industries currently under federal jurisdiction such as transportation, maritime affairs, telecommunications, banking, etc... All these industries are potential avenues for Quebecers to innovate in and be competitive in with its neighbours at the legislative level.
Maybe. This is too speculative for me to really care that much about, but an alternative possibility is an incompetent national Quebec government which runs its industries into the ground. I'm not saying this is more likely, but it could happen.
lecavaleur, on 05 February 2012 - 09:04 PM, said:
With competent governance and the right attitude, Quebec is far better equipped to be an independent country than aremost countries currently independent. It won't be G8, but then again neither will Canada be once Quebec leaves.
Actually, I think Canada would still be a G8 nation as we're actually not a top eight economy in the world anymore, so inclusion in the G8 would seem to be based more on historical membership at this point. I'm not sure why a sovereign Quebec would cause Canada to get kicked out of the G8.
lecavaleur, on 05 February 2012 - 09:04 PM, said:
There is no reason to hyperbolise over the economic calamity that an independent Quebec would be. Québec is an educated, affluent, multi-ethnic society with lots to offer both culturally and economically.
Maybe, maybe not. I mostly disagree with the part of post 32 where you say that Quebec is currently better off than most of the rest of the country.
lecavaleur, on 05 February 2012 - 09:04 PM, said:
As for 'good arguments', how about the constitutional double standard which makes it possible to install and impose a new Constitution on Québec in 1982 with the support of the 9 other provinces but, in order to bring any fundamental change to said Constitution, it requires unanimity... ? Unanimity to alter the powers of the Queen, but only 9 out of 10 to adopt the damn thing inthe first place and then shove it down Quebec's throat, using it to gut the Charter of the French Language, using its judicial application to marginalise the francophone majority in Québec by making it damn near impossible to integrate newcomers into said majority...
And Quebec has not promoted xenophobia in any way. No State on this planet would allow the things you people expect Quebecers to accept in the name of your constitution. No country would subsidise the marginalisation of its own national language the way Quebecers are expected to do. Over 140 States on this planet have enacted linguistic legislation in order to favour the survival of their official language(s).
Quebec is the jurisdiction with the most bilingual and TRILINGUAL citizens in all of the Americas. And you call us xenophobic? Please.
Our defence of the French language has been a contribution to global diversity, not a detriment to it.
Sovereignty will ensure the perennity of French as the common language of Quebecers of all origins. There is not an independent State in existence that has experienced a decline in its national language shared by the majority of its citizens while the nation was independent.
The danger of anglicisation does not come from television, it comes from institutional bilingualism which only exists by virtue of the federal government.
Anyway, I could go on and on but suffice to say than the debate over sovereignty is far more nuanced that most on either side of the divide would like to believe (or than what you will read in National Post and Montreal Gazette editorials).
Personally, I think if a province/state/whatever wants to be sovereign then they should be permitted to be so by the rest of the country. Velvet divorce ftw. But the SCC has said unilateral separation is not legal, and apparently what they think counts for more than what I think.